Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.022586 0.024350 0.026187 0.028245 0.030487 0.032859 0.035560
2025-12-07 0.019518 0.022028 0.024780 0.028028 0.031765 0.035941 0.040975
2025-12-14 0.017455 0.020373 0.023696 0.027775 0.032664 0.038362 0.045539
2025-12-21 0.016091 0.019299 0.023066 0.027839 0.033759 0.040904 0.050243
2025-12-28 0.014904 0.018290 0.022371 0.027685 0.034471 0.042912 0.054307
2026-01-04 0.013973 0.017499 0.021847 0.027648 0.035253 0.044973 0.058485
2026-01-11 0.013238 0.016886 0.021479 0.027746 0.036160 0.047188 0.062943
2026-01-18 0.012572 0.016306 0.021100 0.027774 0.036935 0.049228 0.067241
2026-01-25 0.012039 0.015861 0.020856 0.027945 0.037882 0.051515 0.071984
2026-02-01 0.011394 0.015224 0.020310 0.027655 0.038149 0.052840 0.075396
2026-02-08 0.010752 0.014553 0.019676 0.027195 0.038126 0.053723 0.078177
2026-02-15 0.010265 0.014069 0.019270 0.027023 0.038492 0.055162 0.081843
2026-02-22 0.009758 0.013548 0.018809 0.026780 0.038785 0.056579 0.085685
2026-03-01 0.009312 0.013095 0.018424 0.026628 0.039208 0.058220 0.090004
2026-03-08 0.008880 0.012637 0.018006 0.026398 0.039487 0.059639 0.094043
2026-03-15 0.008564 0.012333 0.017793 0.026460 0.040210 0.061777 0.099383
2026-03-22 0.008215 0.011963 0.017462 0.026315 0.040586 0.063367 0.103891
2026-03-29 0.007921 0.011659 0.017213 0.026280 0.041128 0.065242 0.108997
2026-04-05 0.007678 0.011421 0.017053 0.026373 0.041873 0.067484 0.114881
2026-04-12 0.007435 0.011172 0.016860 0.026399 0.042502 0.069553 0.120585
2026-04-19 0.007238 0.010985 0.016756 0.026561 0.043361 0.072055 0.127241
2026-04-26 0.006956 0.010651 0.016402 0.026287 0.043453 0.073213 0.131454
2026-05-03 0.006656 0.010276 0.015966 0.025852 0.043237 0.073802 0.134608